A new Eagle is set to soar.....

11/29/2012

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Colin Kaepernick-The San Francisco 49er’s seem to have caught lightning in a bottle with Colin Kaepernick.  Generally players do not lose their starting gig due to injuries, but that does not seem to be the case for Alex Smith even though he is leading the
NFL in completion percentage this season.  Colin Kaepernick brings a whole new dynamic to being able to make all of the throws and beat defenses on the ground as well.  It really is too bad for Alex Smith as he seemed to be developing into the quarterback everyone thought he could be when taken #1 overall when he was drafted.  That being said Colin Kaepernick should be a solid start for the rest of the year so long as he does not get yanked from the starting spot.  Even on bad days through the air, which there will be those days, he will make up for it on the ground.  Go and get him and ride him into and through your fantasy playoffs.  BOOM


  Rashad Jennings- With all of the hype Rashad Jennings has received as a backup since entering the NFL it seemed as if it was his time to shine when Maurice Jones-Drew went down a few weeks back.  This however was not the case as he was absolutely awful averaging 2.7 yards per carry and was yanked for third stringer Jalen Parmelee.  It can be said that he was playing behind equally terrible Blaine Gabbert and defenses could key in on him, but Maurice Jones-Drew led the league in rushing last season under the exact same circumstances. Even with a good matchup and his starting gig back due to an injury to Jalen Parmelee you can go ahead and kick him to the curb unless you are desperate. BUST


  Bryce Brown- With the Philadelphia Eagles a mess due to injury and overall ineptitude on both sides of the ball a diamond in the rough has come forward in Bryce Brown.  Being kicked out of one college and quitting another allowed the versatile pinball style back to fly under the radar into a Philadelphia Eagles uniform.  Granted his grip on the starting job will be gone once Lesean “Shady” McCoy recovers from a concussion, but he has earned his spot on the field with his stellar play over the last few weeks.  If Lesean McCoy’s injury lingers Bryce Brown could be the sparkplug that leads you into the fantasy playoffs.  BOOM


  Ryan Mathews- Fumbles, indecisive running, an early injury, and playing for the San Diego Chargers has ruined Ryan Mathews 2012 NFL campaign. Touted as one of the next star backs in the NFL Ryan Mathews just can’t seem to put it all together and breakthrough to NFL and fantasy stardom.  In most cases you probably can’t just flat out cut him, but I wouldn’t be surprised if you did as it would make manyfantasy owners lineup decisions each week easier to deal with.  At this point in the year it’s hard to sit him, but if you have options other than Ryan Mathews it’s time to start plugging them into your lineup.  BUST

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A Raider to the Rescue?

11/14/2012

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Boom or Bust-Weekly knowledge on players trending around the league



Danario Alexander
-At 6’ 5” with great hands and above average speed Danario Alexander looks to be the prototypical number 1 wide receiver that NFL teams covet.  He has been limited by multiple surgeries on his left knee going all of the way back to his college days and to me It’s only a matter of time before fate comes a knockin again. While healthy Danario Alexander will be able to put up solid numbers in San Diego as long as quarterback Philip Rivers can continue to get him the ball (although I am highly skeptical of this).   If he is available on your waiver wire give him an add and ride the talented wide receiver so long as he is healthy.  I see bright things for Danario Alexander and San Diego in the short term. A hesitant..........BOOM


  
Carson Palmer- This gifted quarterback out of USC has never seemed to be in the right place at the right time.  While he has had multiple great wide receivers around him in their prime his teams just can’t seem to put it all together to take the next step towards a Super Bowl.  While that may discouraging to him and his home team fans that doesn’t mean he is not relevant
in the fantasy world.  The Oakland Raiders game plan week in and week out is to throw the ball……………a lot. With Darren McFadden out for the foreseeable future this will continue to trend up as the Raiders don’t really have much behind their stud running back.  With talented wide receivers in Denarius Moore and Darrius Heyward-Bay, Carson Palmer should continue to put up gaudy number on game day. If you are an unlucky owner of Ben Roethlisberger, Jay Cutler, or MikeVick the Carson Palmer should be on your radar via waiver wire or trade.  BOOM


  
Rashad Jennings-I was a firm believer that Rashad Jennings would fill in nicely with Maurice Jones-Drew out with a foot sprain and I could not have been more wrong.  With multiple fantasy friendly matchups over the past few weeks he has continued to lay eggs.  Granted the Jaguars go down big early and often almost every week, but the bonus in Rashad Jennings was supposed to be his pass catching ability which has been non-existent.  With the Texans coming up this week I don’t see things trending up in
Jacksonville for Rashad Jennings and anyone else for that matter.  BUST


  
Chris Ivory- Sure he looked good last week on his 56 yard touchdown run, but outside of that run Chris Ivory’s day was very marginal. In recent season Chris Ivory puts on a show for 2 to 3 games causing his ownership to go from 0% to 60% in three seconds flat, but many owners end up with that empty feeling caused by the stinker he puts up the week that they start him.  With early reports out of Saints camp saying that Darren Sproles is practicing and looking like himself the add of Chris Ivory may have been in vain. Look for him to fade into fantasy irrelevance once more. BUST


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Old Man River Strikes Again

10/24/2012

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Santana Moss Autographed Photo - 11x14
Josh Gordon-I know that I covered Josh Gordon last week, but he has to be brought up again. While he did only reel in two passes this last week he saw his target total jump to 10.  He also came within one sun beam of hauling in a 55 yard score at the end of the game for the win in NFL week 7. Josh Gordon and fellow rookie Brandon Weeden are obviously developing some chemistry in Cleveland and if the target level stays in the 6-9 range the receptions and yards will continue to get better every game.    BOOM
  
Santana Moss- The never aging Santana Moss has gained the attention of the fantasy football community again with a pair of scores in week 7. Some may feel that it is a flash in the pan performance for the 12th year vet, but I think with Pierre Garcon battling a foot injury and Fred Davis out for the year the value of a reliable receiver like Santana Moss will be on the rise.  If he is available on your waiver wire look to pick him up as he will be a steady contributor for the foreseeable future.  BOOM

Rashad Jennings- With Maurice Jones-Drew going down early in week 7 Rashad Jennings was leaned on to carry the load and performed admirably.  His ability to catch the ball is a big boost to his fantasy value as he had 8 targets with and hauled in 7 of them in week 7. Equipped to be a 3 down back I see Rashad Jennings contributing every week because lets be honest the Jacksonville Jaguars do not have much else to lean on. With Maurice Jones-Drew out up to 4 weeks Rashad Jennings carries some significant value in the short term.  BOOM
  
Philip Rivers- I’m not sure if it is the loss of Vincent Jackson that has caused Philip Rivers to regress in 2012, but something is off with the former must start fantasy quarterback. 10 touchdowns to 9 interceptions is not what you expect from a quarterback of Philip Rivers caliber at this point in the season. Until he shows the level of consistency that we are accustomed to look to sell on Philip Rivers. BUST

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With the heart of bye weeks beating strong are you ready?

10/17/2012

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Boom or Bust-Weekly knowledge on players trending around the league

Josh Gordon- With Mohamed Massoquoi sidelined the past few weeks Josh Gordon has stepped up to the plate and has produced great numbers instantly.   While he has yet to garner more than a handful of targets a game he has been extremely effective with the ones he has gotten. 5 receptions, 181 yards, and three touchdowns over the last two games certainly has fantasy owners willing to give him a roster spot. While Josh Gordon is not likely to score on over 50 percent of his receptions from here out he definitely will be on Brandon Weeden’s radar anytime that he is on the field. BOOM

Felix Jones- If there is ever the definition of a one week wonder it would be Felix Jones. He will get his shot this week with DeMarco Murray sidelined and should produce solid numbers against a weak Carolina Panthers defense.  Outside of this one week start I would stay away from adding Felix Jones to your roster as he will most likely drop back into obscurity once DeMarco Murray has his pads on.  BUST

Daryl Richardson- Steven Jackson seems to have his reached his plateau of production this season and the St. Louis Rams are trying to breathe some new life into the backfield. Daryl Richardson has been a speedy and elusive counter punch when given his chances in spelling or in place of Steven Jackson.  I expect to see more of him as the season wears on and Steven Jackson wears down.  Pick him up and watch his touches increase along with everything else.  BOOM

Josh Freeman- I was high on Josh Freeman to start the season thinking he would be a great bounce back candidate in 2012.  While he hasn’t been the stud I expected him to be he has certainly started to get on a roll.  The addition of Vincent Jackson and Doug Martin through free agency and the draft has given Josh Freeman a variety of options when he steps on the field.  Even Mike Williams has returned to form with a comeback season of sorts.  Josh Freeman should continue consistent numbers for the rest of the season so if you are looking for a bye week/injury fill in he should be your guy. BOOM


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Tebow on the horizon? Let the madness begin....

10/11/2012

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 Boom or Bust-Weekly knowledge on players trending around the league

Brian Hartline- I can’t believe that I am saying this, but the Miami Dolphins passing game is starting to take a little bit of form and the biggest beneficiary so far has been Brian Hartline.  Obviously he did not repeat his ridiculous week 4 performance in week  5, but he still had 5 targets hauling in 4 of them.  Look for him to build on his fantasy success in the weeks ahead. BOOM

Devery Henderson- Don’t be fooled by week 5’s performance in which Devery Henderson helped Drew Brees set the most consecutive games with a touchdown pass record. Devery Henderson is a complete feast or famine receiver that can lull you to sleep with performances like this and cause you to pull out your hair the following week when he sees 0 targets. Leave him on the wire in your league where he belongs. BUST

Tim Tebow-  Ahh Tim Tebow, his arm makes you cringe and his legs make him fantasy worthy.  With Mark Sanchez’s terrible play as of late it’s about time for the New York Jets to test their big off-season acquisition with a few starts. With yearly bust Shonn Greene going nowhere in the running game, it makes sense to let Tim Tebow establish some respect for the run in New York.  He might only throw 10-15 passes a game and complete 6 of those, but those 2 rushing touchdowns with along with 75 yards on the ground is fantasy football gold.  If you are struggling at quarterback get ahead of the curve on this one.  BOOM

Arizona Cardinals Running game- Avoid this situation at all costs.  The Arizona Cardinals were not running anywhere when they had there top 2 running backs in the game so what makes you think they will go anywhere with their 3, 4, and 5 backs?  That’s right nothing. William Powell, LaRod Stephens Howling, and Alfonso Smith should be off all radars.  BUST

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Big Guys on the Radar

09/27/2012

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Boom or Bust-Weekly knowledge on players trending around the league

Heath Miller- Heath Miller has been a touchdown machine over the first 3 weeks of the season totaling 4 over that span.  Ben Roethlisberger has stated early in the offseason that he wanted his long time friend and teammate to make it to this years pro bowl and he is well on his way.  He is a bye this week so you might have the chance to wait, but I suggest getting to him while you can as he seems to be benefiting greatly from Todd Haley’s high flying passing attack.  BOOM

Dennis Pitta- I know, I know another tight end, but Dennis Pitta has been Joe Flacco’s favorite target through the first three weeks.  He is a big athletic guy with great hands.  With defenses focusing in on Torrey Smith, Anquan Boldin, and Ray Rice a big guy like Dennis Pitta can wreak havoc over the middle and in the red zone with the mismatches that he creates.  If Dennis Pitta is still around on your waiver wire go out and grab him. If not well I’m sorry, but you missed the bus. BOOM

Jerome Simpson- After serving a 3 game suspension for a drug violation stemming from last year Jerome Simpson is back and ready for action.  Extremely athletic and quick after the catch Jerome Simpson should see plenty of targets in Minnesota this season starting this Sunday against a weak Detroit Lions Secondary. With Percy Harvin and Adrian Peterson drawing much of the defenses attention look for Jerome Simpson to exploit defenses for big gains and touchdowns. BOOM

Chris Johnson- Personally I was quite high on Chris Johnson to start the season as a bounce back candidate and so far I have been completely wrong.  He and his offensive line look terrible through the first 3 weeks and it does not look to be getting any better.  He did have multiple runs last week above 10 yards, but was met in the backfield on just about every other touch and wound up losing about 25 total yards.  The likely high pick you spent on Johnson has your hair turning grey and a spot warming up on your fantasy bench for him.  BUST

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There is a Lion out on the prowl

09/19/2012

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C.J. Spiller- Probably one of the most obvious on my Boom or Bust list as he took over Fred Jackson’s #1 running back spot in spectacular fashion in week 1 and continued to roll on through the Kansas City Chiefs in week 2  He is a multi-talented back and if available you need to get him on your team right away.  He helped many owners to Fantasy Football glory last season averaging over 100 yards and 1 touchdown over the last 5 weeks of the 2011 season.  As long as Fred Jackson in on the bench (and possibly when he is not) Spiller should be starting in all formats. Spiller destroyed KC in week 2 and you should look for him to continue his domination.  BOOM

Kevin Ogletree- After an explosive game 1 Kevin Ogletree was one of the hottest pickups in all of Fantasy Football.  The excitement of the opening game, coupled with a 100 yard, 3 touchdown effort will do that to a Fantasy community that has been chomping at the bit for some live action.  If he is still available he is worth a flier, but my feeling is to temper your expectations. He is a fourth year receiver and he has exactly three touchdown catches in his entire career, all of which were caught opening day.  While he may have another big game or two throughout the season he will not provide consistent enough stats to warrant an every week start. BUST

Coby Fleener- The start of the 2012 season must have felt like the fall at Stanford for Coby Fleener and Andrew Luck as they connected for 6 catches and 82 yards.  Bonds are forged on the football field and prior to beginning their pro careers they spent lots of time together at Stanford. Andrew Luck will continue to look for Coby Fleener early and often and as the season wears on his big size and great hands will help him beat down defenders in the red zone.  While Coby Fleener had a down week during week 2 of the NFL I still expect him to perform very well over the entirety of the season. BOOM

Trent Richardson- Week 2 Trent Richardson posted exceptional numbers vs. the Cincinnati Bengals but the reality is that he is stuck on a Cleveland Browns team that plays the Steelers, Ravens, and Bengals twice a year and that truly hurts his fantasy value.  Beyond that the offense in Cleveland is terrible at best.  If they are able to put together any type of passing attack to draw attention away from Trent Richardson his stock might go up a tick. Overall Trent Richardson 2012 season looks grim and if you have someone willing to bite on a trade you should probably get what you can before the team implodes in Cleveland. Based on where he went in most Fantasy Football drafts this year he will leave many owners wondering what happened in 2012. BUST

Mikel Leshoure- I have been high on Mikel Leshoure since the preseason and we finally are able to see him showcase his talents in week three after coming back from a 2 game suspension for marijuana possession.  He has the size to ground and pound along with the speed to break off long runs.  He has decent hands and that should help him in the Lions pass heavy offense.  If he is still available on the Fantasy Football waivers you should go out and get him as you should see him take over the lead back role in Detroit over the next few weeks.  BOOM

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Fantasy Football Preseason Advice - Should I Draft Michael Turner?

08/18/2012

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A quick look into a few players that may be teetering on the fence in your mind come draft day.

Jay Cutler - Since being traded to the Chicago Bears from Denver in 2009 Cutler has been waiting for the weapons he has needed to create a successful offense. This off season it seems that the Bears have finally addressed those needs by reuniting Cutler with Brandon Marshall with whom he played several seasons with in Denver and drafting Alshon Jeffrey to start opposite of Marshall. Both receivers are big, strong, and fast and should create all types of mismatches for opposing defenses while opening up big holes for the running game. This will also allow a player like Devin Hester to move into a more natural slot position creating a bigger comfort zone for Cutler.

The move to go out and get Marshall was one the Bear’s absolutely had to make with the way every other team in the NFC North is progressing. With Detroit and Green Bay both having elite passing attacks it would have been hard for Cutler to keep pace in 2012 with the likes of Earl Campbell and Roy Williams starting at the 1 and 2 receiver spots again. I believe that this is the year that the Bears will get the kind of production out of Cutler that they imagined when they went out and got him a few years ago. If his offensive line can keep his head attached to his body by slowing down the high powered d lines that he will face all year from NFC North squads, Cutler should have a very solid year in Chicago. With his season ending early last year with an injury and his past inconsistency Cutler should be a steal in this year’s draft. As of this writing, He is a low end number 1 fantasy football quarterback with a very high ceiling. Looks like a BOOM on the horizon.

(Sliding scale 7 out of 10)

Michael Turner - Turner has been the definition of a workhorse fantasy football running back over his last 4 seasons in the NFL averaging just under 300 carries per year. He has literally carried the Atlanta Falcons on his back with his hard nose, physical running style. Turner has hit the dreaded 30 year old mark in which running backs tend to lose a step and with the amount of wear and tear on Turner it is undeniable that he is facing that now. That coupled with the transition of the NFL to a more passer friendly game will make it much harder for Turner to be successful in the years ahead. Turner has never been a viable option in the passing game and with backs like Jason Snelling and Jacquizz Rodgers providing a major upgrade in the passing attack, Turner’s value will take an even further hit.

Turner will still be a major factor in the Atlanta Falcon’s success this year, but I believe he is going to be a bit more limited in his role. Turner’s age coupled with the passing attack that the Falcon’s possess will keep him off the field a lot more than many people think. I would look for Turner to be more heavily involved in short yardage and goal line situations while giving up snaps to Snelling and Rodgers while the Falcons move the ball down the field. This limits his role in the offense, but also will help preserve him over the season possibly making him a more consistent contributor throughout. His name still demands a high pick on draft day so look for him to go early, but I view him as a number 2 running back / flex play on a weekly basis for fantasy football purposes. Buyer beware, as a BUST is right around the corner for this workhorse.

(Sliding Scale 5 out of 10)

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Fantasy Football Preseason Advice - Matt Flynn, Brandon Lloyd

07/29/2012

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A quick look into a few players that may be teetering on the fence in your mind come draft day.
Matt Flynn - For being relatively unknown in the NFL, Flynn was one of the most sought after free agents in the 2012 off-season because so many teams were desperate to find that franchise quarterback to push them over the top.  Matt Flynn has only had 2 starts as a pro, but his most recent one in the last week of the 2011 regular season against the Detroit Lions was one for the ages. He took full advantage of the opportunity and was able set the franchise record for passing yards and touchdown passes in single game for Green Bay.  In 2012 Flynn will take the reigns in Seattle where they have put together some great pieces to help the young signal caller get off the ground.  With up and coming star Doug Baldwin along with seasoned vets Sidney Rice and the talented yet underachieving Golden Tate,  Flynn already has the wide receivers in place to be successful.  Zach Miller will provide another reliable set of hands  and the addition of Kellen Winslow Jr. should only help the young signal caller become more comfortable in Seattle.  With Marshawn “Beast Mode” Lynch providing a smash mouth running game (and rainstorms of Skittles) Seattle should provide a comfortable place for Flynn to spread his wings and fly.
With a full off-season in Seattle to get up to speed with the receivers and offense I look to see Flynn firing right out of the gate. Playing in a relatively weak NFC West I can see Flynn as the piece that pushes them into the top spot year in and year out.  Not to say that he will not experience some bumps in the road next season, but overall Flynn should have a very productive 2012 campaign in Seattle.  I view Matt Flynn as more of an injury/bye week fill in or a Quarterback 2 in most fantasy formats for the upcoming season but surely has the potential to lead your team to the promised land in the second half of the season.  He should provide great value for where you should be able to grab him in your fantasy football draft. 

(Sliding Scale 6/10)
Brandon Lloyd - The 2011 NFL season was a trying experience for Brandon Lloyd.  Early in the season he saw the Quarterback  that relied on him heavily (Kyle Orton) get benched in favor of an inaccurate run-first Quarter back (Tim Tebow).  Shortly after the demotion of Orton Lloyd was traded to the St Louis Rams whose young QB (Sam Bradford) went through some second year growing pains to say the least.  The 2012 NFL off-season brought Lloyd to the perennial Super Bowl contender New England Patriots and it would seem that things are looking up for Lloyd, but target issues loom on the horizon.  With names like Rob Gronkowski, Wes Welker, Aaron Hernandez, and Deion Branch already on the same page with Tom Brady it will take a big off-season connection to move into the pecking order.  Brandon Lloyd is a great talent, but I think that the 2011 season really hurt him by not being able to showcase his talents to the fullest extent.  With the Patriots 2 stud Tight ends in line for a majority of the touch down receptions and Welker averaging 100+ catches every year I see an inconsistent season ahead for Lloyd.  Not to say that he won’t have the eventual great game, but he will not provide the consistency that any of those other 3 will bring week in and week out.  If Lloyd would have signed just about anywhere else in the NFL he might have been in line for another All Pro season like he had in 2010.  Many will reach for Lloyd in the year’s fantasy draft, but I would view him as a wide receiver 3 with upside. 

(Sliding Scale 6/10)
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Fantasy Advice- Peyton Manning, Legarrette Blount, Desean Jackson

06/16/2012

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A quick look into a few players that may be teetering on the fence in your mind come fantasy draft day.

Peyton Manning- With a 4 time league MVP, Superbowl Champion, first ballot Hall of Famer, it is hard to even think of putting his name here, but the truth is that Manning is a huge unknown as a fantasy quarterback at this point.  Sure almost everyone around the league believes he is ready to go and even Manning himself has no hesitation in saying the same, nevertheless Manning has yet to take snap with 300 pound lineman looking to hit him in the numbers. 

Personally I think Manning comes out of the gate firing on all cylinders.  He has the weapons on offense such as Eric Decker and Demaryius Thomas to gain yards and stretch the field.  Add that to an already established run game and a Superbowl caliber defense I expect Manning to put up close to his career numbers his first year in Denver.  Based on where you will be able to pick up Manning in your draft this season a BOOM year should be in order.

(Sliding scale 8 out of 10)

Legarrette Blount- Fumble problems and an anemic offense limited Blount last season after a stellar rookie campaign.  With the Buc’s being down early and often last season, Blount’s running style and lack of skills in the passing game rendered him useless a majority of the time.  That coupled with the shortened off-season, took away any momentum that the Buc’s had hoped to carry  over from the successful 2010 season that saw the rise of rookie QB Josh Freeman and young Coach Raheem Morris.  In 2012 the Buc’s have overhauled their coaching staff and brought in big Wide Receiver Vincent Jackson in hopes of stretching the field and opening the running lanes again.

With the possibility of the Buc’s drafting stud in waiting Trent Richardson, there will not be much room for error with Blount.  As long as he fixes that fumble issues that plagued him last season he should be a huge benefactor of an improved offense.  If the Buc’s can keep their offense on the field and feed the rock to Blount 18-20 times a game we should see a resurgence in 2012 for the bruising runner.  Pay close attention to the competition if Tampa does acquire Richardson, but even so if Blount can get off to a roll 1,000 yards and 10 to 12 Td’s is not out of the question.  Blount is a borderline BOOM candidate and should be a steal in this year’s draft.

(Sliding scale 6 out of 10)

Desean Jackson- Heading into the 2011 season the Eagle’s future looked bright.  A strong 2010 season and the addition of many big name free agents seemed to be tipping the scale in their favor.  However they fell victim to the shortened off season and could not get everyone to gel in within that window and the season started off in a miserable fashion.  Jackson was a huge distraction to his team and himself during this time while dragging out a contract battle with the Eagle’s front office.  His numbers dipped significantly lower then his previous two seasons and even earned a benching against the Arizona Cardinals mid season.  In 2012 the pouting has paid off and Jackson received the big time pay raise that he was pursuing and the mess seems to finally be behind both parties.

While it hurts me to write this, I believe that Jackson is in line for a big year with Philly. When a player does not play to the best of his abilities because he is not being paid millions of dollars, yet is still making 10 times as much as the average American it bothers me.  That aside, Jackson seems primed for a big bounce back year in 2012.  He ended last season showing more flashes of the undeniable speed and receiving talent that made him a star in the first place. With a full off season and pockets full of his biggest supporters look for Jackson to establish himself as a premier deep threat once again in the NFL.  My only concern is that he moves in the wrong direction because he has gotten that big guaranteed contract, but he is an athlete that craves the spotlight and adoration so I don’t expect him to fall flat.  As long as the millions hold up his alligator arms he should be in line to at least double his TD total from last season and add two to three hundred more yards to his season total.  Jackson is another BOOM candidate that should provide great value for his draft position.

(Sliding scale 7 out of 10)

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    Boom or Bust

    J.T. Smith
    justin@tradefantasyfootball.com

    Here to provide you with first rate pre-draft knowledge, in season trade advice, and overall fantasy team rating that will help you to the ultimate goal of dominating your fantasy football league.  With over 10 years of fantasy football experience I am here to share the winning knowledge that has kept me in the playoffs year in and year out and provided me with multiple league championships.   Your back is against the wall and you are looking for that big play to change the game.  Sit back, relax, and let me take the snap…

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